How much can the SA furry fandom grow?
Posted: Sat Sep 16, 2017 10:50 pm
Have you ever pondered the above question?
It was a thought of mine when the feasibility of the South Afrifur 2017 was being debated. One argument compared its possible attendance to the attendance during the early days of Eurofurence. The first Eurofurence convention, in 1995, only had an attendance of 19. The following year, that grew to a still-tiny 35. As a comparison, South Afrifur 2017 attracted a registered attendance of 28. However, Eurofurence went from an attendance 19 in 1995 to a whopping 2 804 in 2017.
So, a question that might follow is this:
How much growth potential does the South African furry fandom have? Is it far-fetched to hope that there will be a significant growth in certain aspects of it, such as convention attendance?
What do you think?
My own opinion is that there are limiting factors that make the potential for growth only a fraction of the furry fandoms in the U.S.A or Europe. These mostly center around demographics.
Let's take a representative demographic of the fandom - what its bulk consists mostly of. The furry fandom is predominantly white, and the average age lies somewhere in the early 20s. If we focus on that demographic alone (white males and females, in the 20 - 25 age bracket), there are just over 300 000 such people in SA (306 415, is the 2015 estimate). In the U.S.A, this demographic is over 14 million: almost 47 times larger. This means that the U.S has an overwhelmingly larger pool of "potential members" that are the likeliest demographic to make up the bulk of the community.
So, in absolute terms, the growth ceiling for SA, going by demographics alone, is already much lower than the U.S.
NOTE: This is NOT a thread to discuss South Afrifur itself! It is focused on the local furry fandom as a whole.
It was a thought of mine when the feasibility of the South Afrifur 2017 was being debated. One argument compared its possible attendance to the attendance during the early days of Eurofurence. The first Eurofurence convention, in 1995, only had an attendance of 19. The following year, that grew to a still-tiny 35. As a comparison, South Afrifur 2017 attracted a registered attendance of 28. However, Eurofurence went from an attendance 19 in 1995 to a whopping 2 804 in 2017.
So, a question that might follow is this:
How much growth potential does the South African furry fandom have? Is it far-fetched to hope that there will be a significant growth in certain aspects of it, such as convention attendance?
What do you think?
My own opinion is that there are limiting factors that make the potential for growth only a fraction of the furry fandoms in the U.S.A or Europe. These mostly center around demographics.
Let's take a representative demographic of the fandom - what its bulk consists mostly of. The furry fandom is predominantly white, and the average age lies somewhere in the early 20s. If we focus on that demographic alone (white males and females, in the 20 - 25 age bracket), there are just over 300 000 such people in SA (306 415, is the 2015 estimate). In the U.S.A, this demographic is over 14 million: almost 47 times larger. This means that the U.S has an overwhelmingly larger pool of "potential members" that are the likeliest demographic to make up the bulk of the community.
So, in absolute terms, the growth ceiling for SA, going by demographics alone, is already much lower than the U.S.
NOTE: This is NOT a thread to discuss South Afrifur itself! It is focused on the local furry fandom as a whole.